Retirement Withdrawal & Income Guide

Safe withdrawal rates, how long savings last, income from $500K–$2M, and how to calculate what you'll need.

The 4% Rule — At a Glance

Withdraw 4% of your portfolio in year 1, then adjust for inflation each year. Historically, this has lasted 30+ years in all market conditions since 1926.

$500K at 4%: $20,000/yr$1M at 4%: $40,000/yr$1.5M at 4%: $60,000/yr

Annual Retirement Income by Balance & Withdrawal Rate

Savings Balance3.0%3.5%4.0%4.5%5.0%6.0%
$250,000
$7,500
$625/mo
$8,750
$729/mo
$10,000
$833/mo
$11,250
$938/mo
$12,500
$1,042/mo
$15,000
$1,250/mo
$500,000
$15,000
$1,250/mo
$17,500
$1,458/mo
$20,000
$1,667/mo
$22,500
$1,875/mo
$25,000
$2,083/mo
$30,000
$2,500/mo
$750,000
$22,500
$1,875/mo
$26,250
$2,188/mo
$30,000
$2,500/mo
$33,750
$2,813/mo
$37,500
$3,125/mo
$45,000
$3,750/mo
$1,000,000
$30,000
$2,500/mo
$35,000
$2,917/mo
$40,000
$3,333/mo
$45,000
$3,750/mo
$50,000
$4,167/mo
$60,000
$5,000/mo
$1,500,000
$45,000
$3,750/mo
$52,500
$4,375/mo
$60,000
$5,000/mo
$67,500
$5,625/mo
$75,000
$6,250/mo
$90,000
$7,500/mo
$2,000,000
$60,000
$5,000/mo
$70,000
$5,833/mo
$80,000
$6,667/mo
$90,000
$7,500/mo
$100,000
$8,333/mo
$120,000
$10,000/mo

* 4% column highlighted — the widely-recommended starting rate for a 30-year retirement.

How Long Will Your Savings Last?

Balance:
Annual WithdrawalMonthly BudgetWithdrawal RateYears Until DepletedRetire at 65: lasts to
$20,000/yr$1,667/mo2.0%Never depletes
$30,000/yr$2,500/mo3.0%Never depletes
$40,000/yr$3,333/mo4.0%Never depletes
$50,000/yr$4,167/mo5.0%Never depletes
$60,000/yr$5,000/mo6.0%Never depletes
$75,000/yr$6,250/mo7.5%27 yearsAge 92
$100,000/yr$8,333/mo10.0%15 yearsAge 80

* Assumes 6% average portfolio return during retirement, no inflation adjustment. Green = lasts 30+ years.

How to Calculate Your Retirement Income Needs

1

Start with current monthly expenses

List every spending category. This is your baseline — most categories stay roughly the same in retirement.

2

Subtract work-related costs

Remove: retirement contributions, commuting, work clothing, lunches out, professional memberships. These disappear at retirement.

3

Adjust for lifestyle changes

Add: travel, hobbies, dining. Subtract: mortgage if paid off, child-related expenses if kids are grown.

4

Add healthcare premium

Before Medicare (65), budget $500–$1,500/month for health insurance. After Medicare, plan for $200–$500/month plus out-of-pocket costs.

5

Multiply by 12 for annual target

This is your annual withdrawal need. Divide by 0.04 to find the required nest egg (4% rule), then subtract expected Social Security × 25.

Model Your Retirement Income

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Advanced (Inflation & Life Expectancy)
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Frequently Asked Questions

The '4% rule' originated from the 1994 Bengen study: withdrawing 4% of your portfolio in year 1, then adjusting for inflation each year, historically lasted 30+ years across all market conditions from 1926–1993. More recent research suggests 3.3–3.5% for 40-year retirements, or up to 5% if you have flexibility to reduce spending in downturns. The 4% rule remains a sound starting point for a 30-year retirement.

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